Jake mentioned in the Wall Street Journal

OK, so I'm not going to make a habit of talking about the little guy with reporters - but sometimes, it just happens.

Over the last couple of weeks, between diaper changes, I've been pursuing my annual obsession with the Heisman Trophy. (For six straight years, I've correctly predicted the winner - and his margin of victory. Look, everyone needs a hobby.)

Anyway, the "Numbers Guy" at the WSJ - Carl Bialik - explained how it is that I do it each year:

Despite the Heisman Trust’s secrecy, media voters often announce their ballots in columns or on air, ahead of the award presentation. Mr. Chisholm and his tipsters gather as many of these declared votes as possible, then smooth any discrepancies arising from over- or under-sampling certain regions. ...

How is he so accurate? Political surveys tend to include 500 to 1,000 likely voters out of a populace of at least tens of thousands. Mr. Chisholm, by contrast, is surveying from an overall voter pool of under 1,000, and each year, he claims to reach at least 13% of those ballots. This year, he got more than 25%, all while juggling the care of his newborn. “I did a lot of it with him sleeping on my lap,” Mr. Chisholm said.

Nice. Good work, Jake!

jakesleepingonmylap.jpg

Posted on December 11, 2007 by Kari Chisholm | Comments (4) |

Comments

This is a huge accomplishment. Sounds like your sample to universe calculations could benenfit from weighting your sample demographically- could reduce the prediction gap and come closer on the point tallies.

Posted by sharon at December 12, 2007 06:51 AM

kari, you are a hoot!! love the publicity. Jackie

Posted by aunt jackie at December 12, 2007 04:52 PM

So young and already generating press? A wonder!

I never properly congratulated you on the birth of your little one; so, to you and Carrie: congratulations! It must be tons of work and not that much sleep, but in the picture above it looks like he's worth every moment. Reminds me of when my little brother was that age...

Take care, and I look forward to meeting little Jake for the first time in the near future!

-Ben

Posted by Ben DuPree at December 14, 2007 09:37 AM

hah, he's famous already. that figures ;) I love all the pictures! I don't know what took me so long to get back here to look at them. Happy New Year Jake and Family!

Posted by Robyn at January 4, 2008 09:45 PM

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